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00000nam c2200205 c 4500
000001820911
20221107101605
140310s2013 ulk m CC 000a eng
▼a 211070
▼c 211070
▼d 211070
▼l DM0000006102
▼v 201222007
▼f DM
▼a 393.8
▼a 393.8
▼b 국384ㅅ
▼c 201222007
▼a 북한의 대남도발 유형 결정에 관한 연구=
▼x North Korea's Choice of the Types of Provocation against South Korea/
▼d 이현행.
▼a 서울:
▼b 국방대학교,
▼c 2013.
▼a 75 p.;
▼c 26 cm.
▼a 석사학위논문;
▼v 2013
▼a 지도교수: Wade L. Huntley
▼a 학위논문(석사) --
▼b 국방관리대학원,:
▼c 군사전략전공,
▼d 2013
▼a 북한
▼a 대남도발
▼a NORTH
▼a KOREAS
▼a CHOICE
▼a TYPES
▼a PROVOCATION
▼a SOUTH
▼a KOREA
▼a 석사논문
▼a 학위논문
▼a 석사학위논문
▼a 군사전략전공
▼a Wade L. Huntley
▼a 이현행
▼a Hyun Haeng Lee
▼a Wade L. Hungley
▼a (군대학) 학위논문
| 자료유형 : | (군대학) 학위논문 |
|---|---|
| 분류기호 : | 393.8 |
| 서명/저자사항 : | 북한의 대남도발 유형 결정에 관한 연구= North Korea's Choice of the Types of Provocation against South Korea/ 이현행. |
| 발행사항 : | 서울: 국방대학교, 2013. |
| 형태사항 : | 75 p.; 26 cm. |
| 총서사항 : | 석사학위논문; 2013 |
| 일반주기 : | 지도교수: Wade L. Huntley |
| 학위논문주기 : | 학위논문(석사) -- 국방관리대학원,: 군사전략전공, 2013 |
| 개인저자 : | 이현행 |
| 개인저자 : | Hyun Haeng Lee |
| 개인저자 : | Wade L. Hungley |
| 언어 | 영어 |
| 원문보기 : |
북한의 대남도발 유형 결정에 관한 연구 = North Korea's Choice of the Types of Provocation against South Korea 북한의 대남도발 유형 결정에 관한 연구 = North Korea's Choice of the Types of Provocation against South Korea |
|---|
This research starts from the question of how North Korea decides upon the types of its provocations against the South. To find the answer, the author divides the major provocations into three periods, according to their characteristics, and examines how the major decisive factors of the North’s crisis policy making, such as military strength, relations with China and the Soviet Union (Russia), regime stability, and economic power, affected its choice of provocation types. The results of the analysis suggest that Pyongyang has chosen the targets, scale, and methods of provocation by thoroughly evaluating its current military, diplomatic, political, and economic conditions.
Therefore, what types of provocations will be initiated by North Korea in the future? One of the obvious points is that Pyongyang’s confidence to defeat Seoul will not be restored soon, and the unexpected strong response of the United States and South Korea will confuse the North’s strategic decision making. For that reason, the most effective way for South Korea to deter any possible provocations by the North is to put more pressure on the Kim regime by using its overwhelming national power and conveying its strong intention to retaliate against the North’s threats on the basis of the firm ROK-U.S. military alliance.
Ⅰ. Introduction
Ⅱ. Classification of the Types of Provocations
Ⅲ. Period of Triggering War: After War to 1960S
Ⅳ. Period of Committing Terror: 1970S to MID-1990S
Ⅴ. Period of Provoking Maritime Confelict: MID-1990S to Present
Ⅵ. Conclusion
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