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00000cam c22002058c 4500
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20230322163038
ta
230320s2022 us b 001c0 eng
▼a 2022026775
▼a 9781324021308
▼q (cloth)
▼z 9781324021315
▼q (epub)
▼a (KERIS)REF000019934564
▼a DLC
▼b eng
▼c DLC
▼d 211070
▼a pcc
▼a E183.8.C5
▼a E183.8.C5
▼b B397
▼a Danger zone :
▼b the coming conflict with China /
▼d Michael Beckley,
▼e Hal Brands
▼a New York, NY :
▼b W.W. Norton & Company,
▼c [2022]
▼a 229 p. ;
▼c 24 cm
▼a Includes bibliographical references and index
▼a The Chinese Dream -- Peak China -- The Closing Ring -- Danger: Falling Powers -- The Gathering Storm -- What One Cold War Can Teach Us About Another -- Into the Danger Zone -- Life on the Other Side
▼a "A provocative and urgent analysis of the U.S.-China rivalry. It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a "superpower marathon" that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the 21st century. But both history and China's current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s. China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Numerous examples from antiquity to the present show that rising powers become most aggressive when their fortunes fade, their difficulties multiply, and they realize they must achieve their ambitions now or miss the chance to do so forever. China has already started down this path. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world's future. Over the long run, the Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe-but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition. But first, it needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone ahead"--
▼c Provided by publisher
▼a United States
▼x Foreign relations
▼z China
▼a China
▼x Foreign relations
▼z United States
▼a United States
▼x Foreign relations
▼y 21st century
▼a China
▼x Foreign relations
▼y 21st century
▼a Beckley, Michael
▼a Brands, Hal,
▼d 1983-,
▼e author
▼b £22
| 자료유형 : | 단행본 |
|---|---|
| ISBN : | 9781324021308 |
| ISBN : | |
| 분류기호 : | E183.8.C5 |
| 서명/저자사항 : | Danger zone : the coming conflict with China / Michael Beckley, Hal Brands |
| 발행사항 : | New York, NY : W.W. Norton & Company, [2022] |
| 형태사항 : | 229 p. ; 24 cm |
| 서지주기 : | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| 내용주기 : | The Chinese Dream -- Peak China -- The Closing Ring -- Danger: Falling Powers -- The Gathering Storm -- What One Cold War Can Teach Us About Another -- Into the Danger Zone -- Life on the Other Side |
| 요약 : | "A provocative and urgent analysis of the U.S.-China rivalry. It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a "superpower marathon" that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the 21st century. But both history and China's current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s. China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Numerous examples from antiquity to the present show that rising powers become most aggressive when their fortunes fade, their difficulties multiply, and they realize they must achieve their ambitions now or miss the chance to do so forever. China has already started down this path. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world's future. Over the long run, the Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe-but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition. But first, it needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone ahead"-- Provided by publisher |
| 주제명(지명) : | United States Foreign relations China |
| 주제명(지명) : | China Foreign relations United States |
| 주제명(지명) : | United States Foreign relations 21st century |
| 주제명(지명) : | China Foreign relations 21st century |
| 개인저자 : | Beckley, Michael |
| 개인저자 : | Brands, Hal, 1983-, author |
| 언어 | 영어 |
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