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00000cam c2200205 c 4500
000005080657
20230228095446
220124s2021 us a b 000c0 eng
▼a 2021425421
▼a 9781977406200
▼a (KERIS)REF000020003607
▼a DLC
▼b eng
▼c DLC
▼d 211070
▼a JZ1313
▼a JZ1313
▼b M475
▼a Stabilizing Great-Power Rivalries /
▼d Michael J. Mazarr,
▼e Samuel Charap,
▼e Abigail Casey,
▼e Irina A. Chindea,
▼e Christian Curriden,
▼e Alyssa Demus,
▼e Bryan Frederick,
▼e Arthur Chan,
▼e John P. Godges,
▼e Eugene Han
▼a Santa Monica, CA :
▼b RAND Corporation,
▼c 2021
▼a 264 p. :
▼b illustrations ;
▼c 28 cm
▼a Includes bibliographical references (pages 231-264)
▼a Chapter One: Introduction: Anticipating an Era of Great-Power Rivalry -- Chapter Two: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Rivalry -- Chapter Three: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Stability -- Chapter Four: Case Study: The Anglo-German Rivalry, 1871-1913 -- Chapter Five: Case Study: The Sino-Soviet/Russian Rivalry, 1950-2001 -- Chapter Six: Case Study: The Cold War, 1947-1989 -- Chapter Seven: The Emerging U.S.-Russia Rivalry, 1991-2019 -- Chapter Eight: The Emerging U.S.-China Rivalry, 1996-2019 -- Chapter Nine: Overall Findings and Implications for the U.S. Army.
▼a The consensus inside and outside the U.S. government is that the international system is headed for a renewed era of intense and sometimes bitter competition among leading states. The objective of this research was to assess the emerging strategic competitions between the United States and both China and Russia, examine the approaches most likely to preserve long-term stability in these competitions, and draw implications for Army capabilities and posture. To this end, the authors reviewed existing literature on rivalries, identifying variables strongly associated with stability and instability, and, based on that research, developed a framework for assessment of such rivalries. They then applied this framework to historical cases of bilateral rivalries to identify the most important factors. Finally, they leveraged this work to assess the current state of U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China relations. Their assessment suggests that there are serious grounds for concern about the stability of both the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China rivalries. While certain contextual factors, such as mutual strategic vulnerability, will remain buffers of conflict, many of the warning signs for instability are clearly visible, and the future seems likely to be even more volatile. The report offers recommendations for the U.S. government and the U.S. Army, in particular, to manage this challenging new era of competition. One overarching theme identified is that to ensure stability-and avoid war-the policy response to this intensified great-power competition should be nuanced and go beyond merely bolstering capabilities to counter rivals
▼a Balance of power
▼y 21st century
▼a Geopolitics
▼z United States
▼x Forecasting
▼a Great powers
▼x History
▼a Strategy
▼x Research
▼z United States
▼a Mazarr, Michael J.,
▼d 1965-,
▼e author
▼a Charap, Samuel,
▼d 1980-,
▼e author
▼a Casey, Abigail,
▼e author
▼a Chindea, Irina A.,
▼e author
▼a Curriden, Christian,
▼e author
▼a Demus, Alyssa,
▼e author
▼a Frederick, Bryan A.,
▼e author
▼a Chan, Arthur,
▼c (Of Rand Corporation),
▼e author
▼a Godges, John,
▼e author
▼a Han, Eugeniu,
▼e author
▼b US$49.95
| 자료유형 : | 단행본 |
|---|---|
| ISBN : | 9781977406200 |
| 분류기호 : | JZ1313 |
| 서명/저자사항 : | Stabilizing Great-Power Rivalries / Michael J. Mazarr, Samuel Charap, Abigail Casey, Irina A. Chindea, Christian Curriden, Alyssa Demus, Bryan Frederick, Arthur Chan, John P. Godges, Eugene Han |
| 발행사항 : | Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation, 2021 |
| 형태사항 : | 264 p. : illustrations ; 28 cm |
| 서지주기 : | Includes bibliographical references (pages 231-264) |
| 내용주기 : | Chapter One: Introduction: Anticipating an Era of Great-Power Rivalry -- Chapter Two: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Rivalry -- Chapter Three: Theoretical Foundations: Understanding Stability -- Chapter Four: Case Study: The Anglo-German Rivalry, 1871-1913 -- Chapter Five: Case Study: The Sino-Soviet/Russian Rivalry, 1950-2001 -- Chapter Six: Case Study: The Cold War, 1947-1989 -- Chapter Seven: The Emerging U.S.-Russia Rivalry, 1991-2019 -- Chapter Eight: The Emerging U.S.-China Rivalry, 1996-2019 -- Chapter Nine: Overall Findings and Implications for the U.S. Army. |
| 요약 : | The consensus inside and outside the U.S. government is that the international system is headed for a renewed era of intense and sometimes bitter competition among leading states. The objective of this research was to assess the emerging strategic competitions between the United States and both China and Russia, examine the approaches most likely to preserve long-term stability in these competitions, and draw implications for Army capabilities and posture. To this end, the authors reviewed existing literature on rivalries, identifying variables strongly associated with stability and instability, and, based on that research, developed a framework for assessment of such rivalries. They then applied this framework to historical cases of bilateral rivalries to identify the most important factors. Finally, they leveraged this work to assess the current state of U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China relations. Their assessment suggests that there are serious grounds for concern about the stability of both the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China rivalries. While certain contextual factors, such as mutual strategic vulnerability, will remain buffers of conflict, many of the warning signs for instability are clearly visible, and the future seems likely to be even more volatile. The report offers recommendations for the U.S. government and the U.S. Army, in particular, to manage this challenging new era of competition. One overarching theme identified is that to ensure stability-and avoid war-the policy response to this intensified great-power competition should be nuanced and go beyond merely bolstering capabilities to counter rivals |
| 일반주제명 : | Balance of power -- 21st century -- |
| 일반주제명 : | Geopolitics -- United States -- Forecasting -- |
| 일반주제명 : | Great powers -- History -- |
| 일반주제명 : | Strategy -- Research -- United States -- |
| 개인저자 : | Mazarr, Michael J., 1965-, author |
| 개인저자 : | Charap, Samuel, 1980-, author |
| 개인저자 : | Casey, Abigail, author |
| 개인저자 : | Chindea, Irina A., author |
| 개인저자 : | Curriden, Christian, author |
| 개인저자 : | Demus, Alyssa, author |
| 개인저자 : | Frederick, Bryan A., author |
| 개인저자 : | Chan, Arthur, (Of Rand Corporation), author |
| 개인저자 : | Godges, John, author |
| 개인저자 : | Han, Eugeniu, author |
| 언어 | 영어 |
Alliance Politics
JZ1314 S65
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