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STATE SUCCESSION IN THE CASE OF A UNIFIED KOREA RESULTING FROM THE COLLAPSE OF NORTH KOREA

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자료유형 :	(군대학) 학위논문
분류기호 :	393.8
개인저자 :	김주현
서명/저자사항 :	STATE SUCCESSION IN THE CASE OF A UNIFIED KOREA RESULTING FROM THE COLLAPSE OF NORTH KOREA/ 김주현.
발행사항 :	서울: 국방대학교, 2008
형태사항 :	113p.; 26cm.
일반주기 :	Naval Postgraduate School Thesis
학위논문주기 :	석사, -- 국방대학교 대학원,: 국방관리, 2008
언어	한국어

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5. 기타 문의사항은 도서관에 문의 바랍니다.

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One potential scenario regarding the future of North Korea is state collapse and unification with South Korea. Effectively isolated from the international community and the world economy, bereft of the great power patronage that it once enjoyed from the Soviet Union and China, and enduring economic shortages and distress, Pyongyang faces challenges that may cumulatively lead to its dissolution. Were collapse to occur, many surmise, unification with the South seems a plausible consequence and many South Koreans expect the consequence.
However, unification of the Korean peninsula by the South’s absorption of the North, faces numerous obstacles. There are many possible legal and institutional issues that would be raised by collapse of North Korea and that would in turn figure into prospects for unification with the South.
These include:
⦁South and North Korea’s membership as sovereign states in the United Nations;
⦁Historical issues stemming from the Korean War, including the continuing relevance of
the United Nations and Combined Forces Commands; and
⦁Legal stipulation incorporated into past North‐South agreements, such as the
“Inter‐Korean Basic Agreement.”
Adding to the complexity of these issues is the geopolitical context in which their resolution must be addressed. In addition to the goals and policies of Seoul and Washington in dealing with state collapse in North Korea, the concerns and approaches of Beijing, Moscow, and Tokyo will also have an impact on how these legal and institutional questions are solved.
Given these complex issues, it is not a foregone conclusion that North Korea, following collapse, may easily be incorporated into a unified Korean state under Seoul’s direction. Therefore, I suggest that the South Korean government needs to prepare for a North Korean collapse which could lead a possibly unified Korea. The suggestions for preparation can be categorized into three areas: political/diplomatic, military, and social/economic.
Recent reports concerning North Korea say that North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il's health is not as good as before, and many North Korean specialists carefully anticipate that this may bring a struggle for political power. Considering the situation, no one can confidently anticipate the situation of North Korea in the future. Therefore, it is the right time for the South Korean government to consider all possibilities and prepare for all possible situations. With these efforts, a unified Korean state can be directed in Seoul's direction.

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